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If You Thought Humans Are Causing the Rise in CO2, Think Again: Three Basic Fallacies Exposed

If You Thought Humans Are Causing the Rise in CO2, Think Again: Three Basic Fallacies Exposed

There is an interesting article from Jonathan Cohler on X that I noticed the other day. It starts like this:

The claim is repeated everywhere. Humans caused the modern rise in atmospheric CO2. From about 280 parts per million before industrialization to about 428 today. Case closed.

You will find it in the IPCC assessment reports, on the NASA and NOAA websites, in the annual Global Carbon Budget, in every major textbook. You will also find it in a report titled The Human Contribution to Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (December 2024), self-published by the CO2 Coalition on its own website and presented on the cover as an official Coalition publication.

Behind that claim are three specific arguments. Recent peer-reviewed work has examined each one. None of the three qualifies at any level as scientific or mathematical proof of what it claims.

Here’s why:

Dacht je dat de mens de oorzaak is van de CO2-stijging? Denk dan nog eens goed na: drie fundamentele misvattingen ontmaskerd – Climategate Klimaat

Jonathan Cohler on X: “If You Thought Humans Are Causing the CO2 Rise, Think Again: Three Basic Fallacies Exposed” / X

Please take the time to read this. What Jonathan has surmised in his report, I had also already concluded from my own investigations. Back in in 2009 Prof. Endersbee noted a near straight-line linear relationship between the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and the amount of Carbon dioxide (CO2) in the air. I confirmed that this relationship is still applicable today:

https://www.climategate.nl/2024/07/het-mysterie-van-de-ontbrekende-door-de-mens-gegenereerde-koolstofdioxide/

The mystery of the missing human-generated carbon dioxide | Bread on the water

The co-efficient of this relationship leaves very little room for any ‘extra’ CO2 being added by mankind. This means that whatever we add is simply mostly being ‘consumed’ by extra flora and fauna, including more harvests needed by mankind, both on earth and in the oceans, e.g.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352938524002416

Any remainder of CO2 from mankind is simply mostly being absorbed by the various sinks for Carbon dioxide.

Remember that all (carbon) life depends on the Carbon dioxide gas that is in the air. It’s everything we are and what we eat. We should never forget that. Every year, approximately 100 billion tons of CO2 (1 ton = 1000kg, 1 billion = 1000 million) from the oceans are released into the atmosphere by the heat of the sun (Roemps Chemie Lexicon). To maintain the balance of CO2 in the atmosphere, nature must dissolve a similar amount in places where the water is very cold, for example in the polar regions, the deep sea, etc.

At all levels, the average pressure, pH and temperature determine the (chemical) reactions:

HCO3- + UV/IR heat = CO2 (g) + OH- (1)

CO2 (g) + 2H2O + cold = HCO3- /CO3 — + H3O+ (2)

Billions of tons of bicarbonate and carbonate are dissolved in the oceans. The moon is our stirrer of the water. That is why mixing sometimes takes a little longer. The equilibrium constant K of reactions (1) and (2) determines the CO2 concentration in the air and the equilibrium follows mostly the average temperature of the water. What we put into the air in terms of CO2 apparently disappears almost directly into nature after a few years (more flora and fauna, also for harvesting) or dissolves again in the water, because of the imbalance in the chemical equilibria mentioned. Henry’s law is an intermediate step, but I don’t think that has anything to do with the chemical reactions that take place. The fact that we have never seen a decrease in CO2 in our lifetimes is simply because of:

1) The wastewater from all humans and animals together that eventually ends up in the oceans is usually a little bit acidic, slightly below a pH of 7, on average (Note: reaction 2 equilibrium shifts to the left, as more hydronium ions are entered by human activities). Most countries specify a lower limit of a pH of 6 for wastewater. See footnote (comment)

2) Assuming that the ice at the North Pole is still melting, then the logical conclusion is that this is because the water there is getting or has become warmer, possibly because of more volcanic activity there. As a result, the areas where the CO2 sinks (= dissolves) become smaller. This could be one of the reasons why more CO2 remains in the atmosphere.

3) Thanks to the Eddy cycle, we are still in an upward trend in terms of the temperature of the water (equilibrium reaction 1 shifts to the right), look:

https://www.climategate.nl/2021/03/de-duizend-jarige-eddy-cyclus/

https://breadonthewater.co.za/2021/03/04/the-1000-year-eddy-cycle/

The strong relationship between dCO2 and dSST as reported by prof. Endersbee, suggests that most extra CO2 in the air is due to the extra heat that came into the oceans from more UV/IR from the sun. Heat coming from  earth itself due to more volcanic / geological activity, especially underwater, maybe strongly underestimated: 

Waar komen El Niños eigenlijk vandaan? – Climategate Klimaat

What drives El Ninos? | Bread on the water

Recent studies suggest that burning less fossil fuels means that it becomes more difficult for the earth to become greener and that with less CO2 in the air we will have smaller harvests.

Make tomorrow greener = please burn more fossil fuel!~ not less. Look:

The myths of scarcity

Take a listen to this sermon by Louis Kotze held on 2/8/2026. In the midst of worldwide hostile feelings towards migrants, I thought this message was enlightening. We have to be wary of demagoguery. It is certainly worth to take the time and listen to this sermon in your quiet time. 

Solution of the Greenhouse Effect equations shows no increase in Earth’s surface temperature from increase in carbon dioxide

Solution of the Greenhouse Effect equations shows no increase in Earth’s surface temperature from increase in carbon dioxide

By Trevor Underwood

Examination of the radiation budget at the surface of the Earth shows that there are five primary factors affecting the surface temperature; the amount of solar radiation absorbed by the atmosphere and by the surface respectively, the amount of heat emitted from the surface in the form of thermals and evaporation, and the proportion of infrared radiation emitted from the surface directly into space. The Greenhouse Effect equations are solved by calculating the downwelling flux from the atmosphere and substituting this in the equation for the radiative balance at Earth’s surface. If there were no leakage, the upwelling infrared radiation from the Earth’s surface would be equal to the incoming solar radiation absorbed by the atmosphere plus twice the solar radiation absorbed by the surface. At current levels of solar absorption, this would result in total upwelling radiation of approximately 398.6 W/m 2 , or a maximum surface temperature of 16.4°C. Allowing for leakage of infrared radiation through the atmospheric window, the resulting emission from the Earth’s surface due to the Greenhouse Effect is reduced to 372.5 or 388.6 W/m 2 , depending on the treatment of thermals, corresponding to surface temperature of 11.6 or 14.6°C. Absorption of infrared radiation by greenhouse gases is determined by the absorption bands for the respective gases and their concentrations. Examination of the absorption of the black body spectrum of terrestrial infrared radiation after passing through the atmosphere indicates that all emitted radiation that can be absorbed by greenhouse gases, primarily water vapor, with a small contribution from carbon dioxide and ozone, is already fully absorbed, and the leakage of around 5.5 percent corresponds to the part of the infrared red spectrum that is not absorbed by greenhouse gases. Emissions in the carbon dioxide absorption bands are most likely fully absorbed. In these circumstances, increased concentrations of greenhouse gases, and carbon dioxide in particular, will have no further effect. The surface temperature is probably at the thermodynamic limit for the current luminosity of the sun. Satellite based measurements since 1979 suggest that any recent increase in the surface temperature may be due to an increase in total solar irradiance, which we are still a decade or two from being able to confirm.

Source: (1) Solution of the Greenhouse Effect equations shows no increase in Earth’s surface temperature from increase in carbon dioxide

The truth about carbon dioxide

The truth about carbon dioxide

You owe it to God to question the answers that we are being given about carbon dioxide (CO2) by the media, the politicians and certain so-called scientists. Learn the truth about carbon dioxide in this video of only 46 minutes. It is an amazing life giving – and healing gas. As earth gets warmer more CO2 is added to the atmosphere from the oceans by the chemical reaction of the bi-carbonate,

HCO3-  + heat/UV = CO2 (g) + OH-

As I also tried to explain here: The mystery of the missing human-generated carbon dioxide | Bread on the water  Willie Soon says that what humanity adds in the air apparently does not stay there for longer than about 4 years. It is just being consumed by earth. It is getting greener and greener, not only on land but also inside the oceans.

To see the graphs and images used in this presentation, ask me in the comment section together with submission of your preferred e-mail address.