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Dear Member of Parliament

I originally wrote this letter to the members of parliament of the Netherlands:

Zeer geacht Kamerlid – Climategate Klimaat

I will soon also send it to all the members of parliament in South-Africa as soon as I have all their email addresses.

Henry Pool

Dear  Member of Parliament,

(Name + surname)

(Party XXX)

After my previous correspondence,

https://www.dropbox.com/s/tps2cd4kuds8o6g/SUBMISSION%20by%20Henry%20Pool.docx?dl=0

I certainly don’t need to tell you how disappointed I am with the new climate law. I am deeply offended. Because yes, it is throwing money down the drain with that climate law. The carbon dioxide (CO2) itself cannot be the cause of climate change. I know that you think that 97% of scientists think differently about that, but I am going to explain to you why that theory is wrong. I even want to dare to say (and think) that you will understand my reasoning. I try to keep it simple so that all the laymen among you will understand me.

  1. I can provide dozens of proofs that climate change is of all times. I will just dwell on the analysis of ice samples at different depths in Greenland. Will you read with me?

  2. Did you know that at a concentration of just 150 ppmv of carbon dioxide (CO2) carbon based life as we know it becomes much worse? I will also show you from fairly simple empirical science that a level of 600 to 800 ppmv CO2 is ideal for the greatest possible crop yield.

  3. The so-called greenhouse effect has mostly to do with the energy released by the condensation of water vapor. Carbon dioxide (CO2) does not condense in the atmosphere.

  4. I am reporting the results of studies that I and others have done that show that the effect of more CO2 in the atmosphere is nothing.

Let’s start (1) with the fact that climate change is of all times:

Here we see an analysis of ice samples from Greenland that were taken and evaluated at different depths. The depths correspond to time and the measured parameters could be correlated with surface temperature. We see with a regularity of about 1000 years that it is warmer at the surface where the sample was taken. Source: https://foresight.org/some-historical-perspective/ (if you have time: read this report!)

Note that this analysis only goes up to 1950, because younger ice apparently doesn’t work. But anyway, if we were to extend this graph, it is logical to see that by 2024 we could theoretically easily be up to -29, which is +2.0 to +2.5 from 1950, exactly what we are now measuring in the northern hemisphere – and also in the Netherlands! From other observations, the scientist named Eddy had also seen this regularity of about 1000 years. More about this here: The thousand-year Eddy cycle – Climategate Climate.

My question to you is: why could the climate change we are seeing now NOT be natural, just like it used to be?

My next question to you is: (2) do you know what the atmospheric part of CO2 is now, at this moment, in ppmv and in % v/v (= volume per volume)? I will give you the answer because if you still have to look it up yourself with google then you have already failed my exam. It is now 410 ppmv or 0.04 %v/v of the entire atmosphere. I remember from my own books what it was 50 years ago. It was then 310 ppmv or 0.03% v/v. The increase is therefore only 0.01% v/v. This compares with approx. 1.0% v/v water vapor in the first 3 km of the atmosphere where the greenhouse effect is relevant. We know that at a concentration of 150 ppm CO2 (0.015%) plant life has a very hard time.

[There is experimental work available that plants require at least 150 ppm CO2 to grow. Ref: Dippery et al. (1995). “Effects of low and elevated CO2 on C3 and C4.”. Oecologia, 101, 13-20, (1995), Springer-Verlag.]

At 150 ppmv photosynthesis becomes so inefficient that it stops working properly. In greenhouses the optimal CO2 level is 600 to 800 ppmv. That is the best concentration of CO2 for plants to grow. See for example here .

[I seem to remember that in greenhouses for tomatoes, the optimal concentration for CO2 is even 1000 ppmv (0.1%). Maybe you can check that for me? That report I read about it from growers in the Westland in the Netherlands has strangely enough disappeared…]

My question is, can someone tell me what the ‘right’ concentration of CO2 is where the well-being of the biosphere and the atmosphere and thus the benefit for humanity is optimal? In all the climate and geophysical literature, in all those thousands of publications, millions of sentences and billions of words, the answer to that simple question is not to be found. It is not even known whether there is such a thing as the best concentration of carbon dioxide in the air.

This was just something about the philosophy of ‘consensus’. You understand that there is no such thing. Really not.

(3) I am now going to explain in simple language how the greenhouse effect (gh-effect) works. It is important that everyone who has anything to do with this effect at least understands what is happening. I found this definition on the internet:

“it is the trapping of the sun’s heat in the lower part of a planet’s atmosphere, because of the greater transparency of the atmosphere to visible radiation from the sun than to infrared radiation returned from the planet’s surface”.

This definition is misleading because it only focuses on a small aspect of the gh effect. This is not the main reason why a planet with water like Earth is 33K warmer in the lower regions than a planet without water. It works like this:

Sunlight (UV/IR) falls on water => water vapour => water vapour accumulates (sticks together due to strong VanderWaals forces) => clouds => this moist air and clouds start to move due to pressure and temperature differences => clouds and water vapour move to cooler areas => condensation takes place => condensation heat is released in the air => this is equal to 2260 kJ per kg water vapour. A ‘cold front’ with many clouds is actually Mother Earth’s way of making the temperature the same everywhere, so that the average is approx. 14-15 C instead of -18C for a planet (at this distance from the sun) without water. It seems to me that everyone has simply forgotten this. The definitions in the textbooks want you to believe that the main reason for the gh effect is that the gas slows down or holds the outgoing long-wave radiation from the earth, like a ‘blanket’ around the earth. There is some truth in that, but that is indeed only a very small aspect of the GH effect….and then there are also greenhouse gases that protect us against the most energetic radiation from the sun by sending it back into space.

Most people don’t understand that the majority of the energy of that extra 33C of the gh effect comes from the interaction between the sun and the ocean. They think that that entire 33C is provided by that ‘blanket’ of that 1% water vapour and that 0.04% CO2 around us. Taking this (wrong) route you could easily calculate that the increase of 0.01% CO2 over the past 50 years provides between 0.3 and 0.4 degrees C extra heat. Then some climate scientists believe that there are certain multiplication effects that could bring all of this to +1C or even +1.5 C. You will understand that if the premise is already wrong, that all of that is nonsense. CO2 (carbon dioxide) does nothing to the global temperature in terms of condensation because there is no condensation of CO2 in the atmosphere, so there is no heat that is repeatedly released like with water vapour. There is also no VanderWaals accumulation (as with water vapour) of CO2 because the gas behaves like an ideal gas. By diffusion it expands equally in all directions. Consequently there is also no mass that can retain and release heat, as in the case of water vapour – except that of a single molecule. But each molecule is surrounded by 10,000 other gas molecules that simply let all back-radiation of CO2 through. We can therefore consider the molecule by itself by looking only at the spectrum of CO2 and see what happens when light (radiation) from the sun and from the earth falls on the molecule.

Here (4) it may get a bit technical. It turns out from my own calculations that the amount of energy of the radiation that goes through the CO2 back to the sun and space is about the same as the energy of the back radiation of CO2 that goes to the earth. Here are my results reported.

At the end of my report I mention the work of 4 other scientists who arrived at the same result using different methods. The most recent research is by a number of Polish researchers who concluded:

The presented material shows that despite the fact that the majority of publications attempt to depict a catastrophic future for our planet due to the anthropogenic increase in CO2 and its impact on Earth’s climate, the shown facts raise serious doubts about this influence. See here .

Henry Pool.

The net effect of more CO2 on the temperature in the atmosphere is nothing. More CO2 is better because it is our fertilizer in the air for plants. That the extra CO2 does provide better harvests and a greener world and that this may influence the global temperature a little is another subject. Cause and effect … you know.

I would be happy to hear from you if you have any questions.

Henry Pool

henrypool7@gmail.com

The mystery of the missing human-generated carbon dioxide

The mystery of the missing human-generated carbon dioxide

I am sure most of you are well aware that there must be strong relationship between the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the atmosphere and the warmth of the water in the oceans, summarized by the chemical reactions (1) and (2):

HCO3- + UV/heat = CO2 (g) + OH- (1)

Carbon dioxide is the gas on which all carbon life depends. Every year ca. 100 billion tons of CO2 is gassing out from the oceans into the atmosphere due to the heat from the sun (Roemps Chemie Lexicon). For nature to keep the balance of CO2 in the atmosphere, a similar amount must dissolve again there where the water is very cold, for example in the polar regions, deep sea, etc.

CO2 (g) + 2H2O + cold = HCO3- + H3O+ (2)

Someone recently pointed me to the work done on this relationship by the late prof. Lance Endersbee. To quote from his 2008 report: see Endersbee – Carbon dioxide and the oceans.pdf

‘In the past, sea temperatures were obtained from measurements by passing ships in the sea lanes of the world. It is only in the past three decades that more accurate data on sea surface temperatures has become available. The analysis of this recent data by the author shows that: a) the oceans regulate the composition of the atmosphere; b) the influence on climate of human-generated carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere is negligible; and c) global climate change has natural causes.

The oceans and the atmosphere are quite shallow in relation to the vast surface area of the oceans. The interaction of the atmosphere and the oceans is essentially a phenomenon of the ocean surface. It would be expected that there would be almost a direct correlation between levels of CO2 in the air and the global mean sea surface temperatures, and, indeed, that is the case. It is possible to plot an experience curve of the relationship between ocean temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels. To do so it is necessary to recognize that the oceans have a vast storage capacity for heat and dissolved gases, and that changes are slow. On the other hand, the atmosphere has a much more rapid response time. If we use a 12-month moving average of the atmospheric CO2 concentration and a 21-year moving average of the more accurate recent data on global average sea surface temperatures, a remarkably clear experience curve is obtained. The 12-month moving average of CO2 levels filters out the variations of the annual cycle and, in related analyses, provides a view of the influence of other natural events. The 21-year moving average of sea surface temperature covers the complete solar cycle, including the change in magnetic polarity of the sun, the El Niño and La Niña influences on global climate, and recognizing the vast storage capacity of the oceans for CO2 and the slow response time of the oceans. The chart (graph) shows that the CO2 levels in the atmosphere and global average sea surface temperatures are locked together. The correlation (R2=0.996) is so firm it is reasonable to include it as a condition in the computer simulations used to study climate change.’ End quote.

The professor’s graph shows that the relationship between the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere and the warming anomaly of the oceans is given by: y=143.6x+334.1 where y = ppm CO2 in the atmosphere (as measured in Mauna Loa, Hawaii) and x = the globally evaluated warming anomaly (delta T, in degrees C) of the sea surface temperature (SST).

As stated earlier, unfortunately Prof. Endersbee passed away in 2009, so we have no further data from him to see how his relationship would hold up to today. I was curious to see this and decided to look at two simple wft plots, one just to check his own graph (1985-2009) and another one to see where we stand today (1980-2025):

Here we see from the trendline that the delta T from 1985 to 2009 is indeed about 0.35C, as he already had determined in a more accurate way. We calculate the atmospheric CO2 concentration: 143.6 x 0.35 +334.1 = 384 ppm, which is of course exactly what it was in 2009.

Here we see from the trendline that the delta T from 1980 to 2025 is about 0.6C. We calculate the atmospheric CO2 concentration from Enderbee’s formula: 143.6 x 0.6 +334.1 = 420 ppm, which is of course almost exactly what it is today….

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Note that the way I determined delta T is of course much more inaccurate than Prof. Endersbee would have done it, working with the original data, as he had explained; but clearly, the results of the investigation suggest that it is the warming of the oceans that determines the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere. It is exactly as professor Endersbee proposed, namely, ‘that the oceans regulate the composition of CO2 in the atmosphere’. It appears that all our human-generated carbon dioxide has little or no influence on the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere….

Finished!!!

Finished!!!

 At the Rehoboth Children’s Village, from left to right: Yvonne & Alfons van Galien, Henry & Annette Pool. The meaning of Rehoboth: place of water and space (Gen. 26:22)

I am so proud to report that all the work for the project that we set out to do to make the Rehoboth Children’s Village less dependent on Eskom power, has now been finalized. All 17 homes in the village now have gas cooking! The homes already had been fitted with solar geysers and to this we added the lightbulbs with batteries in every room that keep on shining for hours if the power goes off. Further, we supplied full solar power to the activity center which includes the cooling- and food distribution center. Finally, we also replaced the faulty inverter of the existing solar power installation of the school.

Message from the Rehoboth Children’s Village (on behalf of ca. 80 children): Thanking you all so much for this amazing support. Both Gas and Solar. What a blessing. Bless you guys and BIG hugs from us. Alfons & Yvonne van Galien. 

Click on the link below to see some pictures that we want to share with you:

https://heartforchildren.co.za/2024/07/20/finished/

The myths of scarcity

On 30/6/2024 pastor Louis Kotzé held a sermon in the Hatfield Christian church that almost took my breath away. Listen carefully as to where the myths of scarcity really come from. But note also that the promise of abundance is for those doing (a) good deed(s). Always remember John chapter 14 and Matthew chapter 25: your faith is shown/ becomes evident from your works.