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The Green Illusion (2)

The Green Illusion (2)

Figure 1. Total consumed energy for the world in BBOE. Data source: OurWorldinData.org

I hope you looked at the video’s in The Green Illusion | Bread on the water  Now let us look at some data. Note that BBOE stands for billions of barrels of oil-equivalent energy. Figure 1 shows that the increase in global energy consumption since 1960 is quite linear (R2 = 0.99) and increasing at a rate of 1.1 billion BOE/year. Modern renewables, contrary to popular belief, are not even increasing enough to keep up with the growth in energy consumption. As a result, fossil fuel use is increasing, not decreasing globally. Total growth in renewables is so small, it only covers 7% of the increase in energy consumption. You can only produce and install so many solar panels and windmills, and they don’t last that long in the open.

With the data from Fig. 1 it is possible to do a simple projection / prediction of energy use in the future:

Discussion and Conclusions

At the current price of $119 per barrel of oil, $66 per ton of coal, and $7.28 per MMBTU (as of 6/15/2022) there are no economic constraints preventing the development of our abundant natural energy resources. However, the political, regulatory, and judicial (as in environmental lawsuits) hurdles are currently prohibitive. Global prosperity and energy availability are very strongly correlated, and if fossil fuels are curtailed, more people will become impoverished, global health will decline  It is clear from the above data  that growth in renewables will not make up the difference.

World governments are clearly on a dangerous and unsustainable path. Fossil fuels are essential for our well-being and survival. People know this and want to buy them; thus, we observe high prices in a time of abundant natural resources. It is only the governments that stand in the way – our elected officials and the unelected bureaucrats. We need to radically change our governments, and quickly. The impact of greenhouse gases is small, and may even be beneficial, this is not true of our current governments.

Andy May’s  original article is here: Replacing the World’s Fossil Fuels – Watts Up With That?

Andy May’s latest book is The Great Climate Change Debate.

Did you see the farmer laugh? (Het jy al n boer sien lag?)

Listening to this song, made me realize something. The farmer admits that he is dependent on the Hand of God for the rain on his land.  Here are the lyrics:

Op n plaas buite kant die klein Karoo staan n boer en wag
Hy wag al lank vir n druppel reën om sy grond te kom seen
Hy bid al maande lank dat daar net iets moet gebeur skielik slaan die druppels neer
Het jy al n boer sien lag, n boer sien dans in die reën terwyl n traan by sy wang afrol
N boer sien lag n boer sien dans in die reën…
Wil God die Aarde seen
Op n plaas buite kant die klein Karoo staan n boer en lag
Hy kyk op na die wolke hoog en sien n reënboog
Hy weet dat daar is iemand wat uitkyk vir hom
Hy hoor nog n storm afkom
Het jy al n boer sien lag, n boer sien dans in die reën terwyl n traan by sy wang afrol
N boer sien lag n boer sien dans in die reën
Wil God die aarde seen
Hy hoor dit aankom, hy hoor die gegrom, donker wolke wat boe oor hom huil, die reën val neer
Net meer en meer, sukkel sy knee neer
Het jy al n boer sien lag n boer sien dans in die reën terwyl n traan by sy wang afrol
N boer sien lag n boer sien dans in die reën
Wil God die Aarde seen, wil God die Aarde seen

Unfortunately, many people have strayed from the idea that it is God who controls the weather. That is perhaps why they have started to think that they themselves can control or have an influence on the weather….Especially in today’s world, where we are bombarded with fake weather news and made to feel guilty about ‘man-made’ climate change, it is important to see what Jesus has to say about it.  Referring to the wind (weather) He mentions several times that nobody knows exactly from whence it comes and where it goes. Note that despite enormous efforts, this holds still true for today. Many weather stations today, even in the most advanced economies, are not able to predict the weather for more than a few days ahead. In fact, in many cases they can not even predict severe weather, short term, thereby avoiding potential disasters, as the wind can sometimes pick up very quickly and suddenly. Note this passage of Scripture in Mark 4: 

39 And he arose, and rebuked the wind, and said unto the sea, Peace, be still. And the wind ceased, and there was a great calm.

40 And he said unto them, Why are ye so fearful? how is it that ye have no faith?

41 And they feared exceedingly, and said one to another, What manner of man is this, that even the wind and the sea obey him?

Again, as many times before*, Jesus proves that He is the God of Creation, also able to control the weather. He even gave us a hint there: “How is it that you have no faith?’ That must have been what the farmer read in his Bible and made him to pray for rain (see the video)

His faith in God does not let him down. Isn’t that great? Enjoy the video!

 

* See Jesus is God – God is Jesus by Henry Pool

Add your voice against the Climate Change Bill

If you want to prevent that a carbon tax is levied on all fuels, make sure that your voice is heard before 27 May 2022. Use this link to vote against the bill:

https://dearsouthafrica.co.za/climate-2022/

 

As an example, a  copy of my input is below.

Dear Ms AF Muthambi, MP Chairperson of the Portfolio Committee on Environment, Forestry and Fisheries,

c/o Ms Tyhileka Madubela..

No I do not support the proposed Climate Change Bill (B9 — 2022), as introduced by the Minister on 18 February, 2022.

My top concern is Definitions and interpretation.

I am an independent researcher on the climate change issue and I am opposed to the climate change bill 2022 for the following reasons: 1) See the objections I also made to the bill that was proposed in 2018 to which I never received any official reply: https://www.dropbox.com/s/tps2cd4kuds8o6g/SUBMISSION%20by%20Henry%20Pool.docx?dl=0 My results over the past 4 decades actually show little or no climate change in South Africa and the Southern Hemisphere in general. https://breadonthewater.co.za/2021/11/25/an-inconvenient-truth/ 2) There is evidence piling up showing that more carbon dioxide (CO2) in the air may in fact not be the direct cause of global warming. https://breadonthewater.co.za/2022/03/08/who-or-what-turned-up-the-heat/ 3) More carbon dioxide does in fact cause more greening and this traps some heat. https://breadonthewater.co.za/2022/01/10/global-warming-due-to-ehhh-global-greening/ 4) The latest IPCC assessment is biased and not based on realistic observations: https://breadonthewater.co.za/2022/04/28/a-bridge-too-far-climate-models/ 5) My main concern is that the so-called ‘green’ alternatives are completely inferior and not sufficient for SA needs. See: https://breadonthewater.co.za/2021/10/09/the-green-illusion/ In the last three links, there are some video’s. Please take the time to watch these as they will open your eyes. I am pretty sure that after you have seen these videos, you will not sign this bill. Greetings, Henry Pool https://breadonthewater.co.za/blog/ Cel. +27 (0)836297690 henrypool7@gmail.com

Regards
Henry Pool

Make your OWN masterpiece!!

Whether it is music or songs you write, whether it is needlework or artwork or any other product that you make, whether it is research work or anything you write that you think is important: Make it your own MASTER piece. Essentially, there will always be people  who like your work and those who will despise it. The message that the lady gives that the only thing important in life is what YOU yourself think of your work…..

A Bridge Too Far: Climate Models

Take some time off to check if the IPCC is correct in saying that the climate crisis is worse than it ever was. John Christy is a well known expert in climatology.